Impact of Migration Status on Probability of Commuting among Workers in Indonesia

Commuting Migration Probit Instrumental Variable

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October 23, 2024

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The theory of mobility transition suggests that in the early stages of development, people tend to move shorter distances. As development advances, people are able to make longer journeys, leading to migration or long-term population mobility. However, further development progress allows people to engage in more short-term population mobility, enjoying the benefits of destination areas without fully detaching from their original societies. While some macro-level studies have shown that short-term population mobility might replace migration, there are limited micro-level studies examining how migration status influences short-term population mobility. This paper presents a new empirical finding based on Indonesia's 2019 National Labour Survey data, exploring whether workers' migration status impacts their likelihood of commuting as a form of population mobility. The analysis uses probit analysis with instrumental variables and concludes that workers with migrant status are more likely to commute.